- Look back to the odds for each team to make the 2023-24 NFL playoffs
- There were a couple teams who were early favorites to make the playoffs that missed out. See how the playoff odds changed throughout the 2023-24 NFL season
- Looking for current NFL playoff odds?
The 2023 NFL regular season concluded January 7, 2024 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, which began January 13, 2024. We tracked the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds opened, right through to Week 18.
The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.
Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams
The 2023-24 NFL playoff odds suggest five of the seven teams who made the postseason last year will return again this season. The teams out from last year are the Los Angeles Chargers and Cincinnati Bengals. The Browns were a new face, as they clinched a playoff berth, and one of Indianapolis or Houston will be the other newcomer – it was Houston after they won in Week 18. It was also possible either Jacksonville and/or Buffalo miss, potentially allowing two of the Colts, Texans, and Steelers to get in. The Bills won their game, though, and clinched a playoff berth.
Though it looked bad for the Bills a few weeks ago, they were heavily favored to get into the playoffs entering Week 18. The Jaguars were favored to win the AFC South, leaving the Colts as slight favorites over the Texans to get the last wild card spot. However, Jacksonville lost their Week 18 matchup with the Titans and missed the playoffs. The Steelers needed some help, but did manage to get in.
You can see the latest playoff picture in our NFL playoff bracket.
Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:
- [January 17, 2024] Jacksonville’s loss to the lowly Titans set off a crazy set of events, allowing the Texans to win the AFC South and Steelers to clinch the final wild card spot in the AFC. Those two will join the Ravens, Bills, Chiefs, Browns, and Dolphins in the postseason.
- [November 28] After a crushing loss to the Eagles in Week 12, the Bills’ playoff odds have hit a season-worst +400, fading from +160 last week.
- [November 21] The Bengals’ playoff odds plummeted from -135 to +550 after Joe Burrow was announced out for the season.
- [November 15] The Browns playoff odds went from -320 to -190 after it was announced Deshaun Watson would be having season-ending surgery on his shoulder.
- [October 31] For the first time since late September, the Bengals are favored to make the playoffs. This comes after their Week 8 win over the 49ers. Cincinnati’s odds to make the playoffs had gotten as long as +200 in early October and were +145 prior to Week 8. Joe Burrow and company saw their playoff odds improve to -150 following Week 8.
- [September 12] The Cleveland Browns went from +115 odds to make the playoffs prior to Week 1, which means they were projected to miss, to -215 odds to make the playoffs after beating the Bengals in Week 1. These are the fourth-best odds among AFC teams. The Dolphins also saw significant movement, going from -110 to -225 after beating the Chargers in a thriller. The Jets, on the other hand, went from -130 odds to make the playoffs to +215 after they lost Aaron Rodgers for the season.
- [May 1] After Lamar Jackson signed a new contract with the Ravens, the Bengals’ odds to make the playoffs slightly faded, making room for the Chiefs to take over as the team with the best playoff odds in the AFC.
- [March 28] The Cincinnati Bengals opened with the best odds to make the playoffs in the AFC. They opened at -370 to get in, just slightly better than the Chiefs at -360. The opening NFL playoff odds say the Bengals and Chiefs will be joined by the Bills, Jaguars, Ravens, Jets, and Dolphins in the AFC side of the playoffs.
Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams
The 2023-24 NFL playoff odds said four of the seven teams who made the NFL playoffs last year in the NFC would be back again this coming postseason. The New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, and Minnesota Vikings are the three teams left out from last year’s playoffs. The Detroit Lions and LA Rams missed the playoffs last year, but have locked up a spot this year. The odds favor Green Bay as the third newcomer.
The NFC playoff picture only had two spots remaining entering Week 18: the winner of the NFC South and the final wild card spot. The Buccaneers were favored to take the NFC South, but New Orleans and Atlanta both still had a shot. Green Bay was given the best odds to get the final wild card spot, but Seattle, New Orleans, and Minnesota all still had a chance.
Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:
- [January 9, 2024] The Buccaneers clinched a playoff berth with their win over the Panthers, and the Packers took the final wild card spot in the NFC with a win over the Bears in Week 18. The following teams will join the Bucs and Packers in the playoffs: San Francisco, Dallas, Detroit, Los Angeles, and Philadelphia.
- [December 5] The Panthers have become the first team to be mathematically eliminated from making the playoffs, meaning they will no longer have odds.
- [October 31] Just as the Vikings were starting to make their playoff push, it has been confirmed Kirk Cousins has torn his Achilles. Minnesota’s odds to make the playoffs had gotten as long as +450 in early October but had gotten as short as +148 prior to Week 8. Their playoff odds sit at +230 after the Cousins news.
- [September 12] The Lions went from -165 odds to make the playoffs to extremely heavy -350 favorites to make the playoffs after beating the Chiefs in the season-opener. The Bears saw their odds plummet from +155 to +380 after an awful showing at home against the Packers.
- [March 28] We saw NFL playoff odds open a good month before the 2023 NFL Draft. The opening odds said the following teams would get into the 2024 NFL playoffs: the 49ers, Eagles, Saints, Cowboys, Lions, Seahawks, and Vikings.