- Up 2-0 in the best-of-seven ALCS, the New York Yankees can push the Cleveland Guardians to the brink of elimination on Thursday
- The Yankees send Cole Schmidt to the mound against Cleveland’s Matthew Boyd
- Below, see the best available Yankees vs Guardians odds plus expert picks and predictions for Game 3
The New York Yankees (94-68, 50-31 away) visit the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 50-30 home) at Progressive Field in Game 3 of the ALCS on Wednesday evening at 5:08 pm ET. Cole Schmidt toes the rubber for the Yankees as they look to take a 3-0 stranglehold in the best-of-seven while Matthew Boyd starts for the Guardians as they look to gain a toehold in the series.
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Game 3 Predictions
- Guardians moneyline (+105) at ESPN Bet
- Under 7.5 runs (-124) at
FanDuel
Not much has gone well for the Guardians in the first 17 innings of this series. They’ve been outscored 11-5 and their supposedly indomitable bullpen has allowed four runs in 12 innings. The good news for the Guardians is that Thursday starter Matthew Boyd has been stellar since returning from Tommy John surgery in August. Boyd put up a 2.72 ERA in 39.2 IP in the regular season, and he hasn’t allowed a run in 6.2 innings in the postseason, allowing just five hits and three walks while racking up 10 Ks.
Boyd has mediocre numbers against the Yankee lineup. In 33 ABs, they are slashing .242/.405/.455 against the longtime Detroit Tiger. Aaron Judge is 2-for-6 with a home run, five walks, and a 1.470 OPS. But that’s much better than Clarke Schmidt’s numbers against the Cleveland batters: in 38 ABs, they have mashed Schmidt for a .395 average and .925 OPS, though no one has taken him deep.
While I like the Guardians to get off to a good start against Schmidt, I am also taking the under, largely because of how well the Yankee bullpen has performed in the postseason. In 23.1 IP, New York relievers have a miniscule 0.77 ERA and 2.65 FIP. They have allowed just one home run the entire playoffs.
Best Yankees vs Guardians Odds for Game 3
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | -115 at BetMGM |
-1.5 (+150) at bet635 | O 7.0 (-120) at BetMGM |
| Cleveland Guardians | +105 at ESPN Bet |
+1.5 (-166) at FanDuel |
U 7.5 (-124) at FanDuel |
Thursday’s MLB odds show a decent ranges in the Yankees/Guardians moneyline. New York is anywhere from -125 to -115 with BetMGM and Caesars currently offering the longest price on a New York victory. ESPN Bet has the longest odds on a Cleveland win at +105.
The best odds on Cleveland +1.5 is -166 at FanDuel. Most sportsbooks have the Yankees -1.5 at +150, including bet365, BetMGM, and Caesars.
The run total ranges from 7.0 to 7.5. Over bettors can get over 7.0 at -120 at BetMGM while under bettors should target under 7.5 at -124 at FanDuel.
The Yankees (+115) remain the favorites in the World Series odds while the Guardians have faded to +1500.
NYY vs CLE Public Betting Splits
| Team | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% | Runline | RL Handle% | RL Bet% | Run Total | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Yankees | -120 | 82% | 83% | -1.5 (+150) | 85% | 82% | O 7.5 | 77% | 77% |
| CLE Guardians | +105 | 18% | 17% | +1.5 (-168) | 15% | 18% | U 7.5 | 23% | 23% |
The MLB public betting splits for Game 3 are all over the Yankees. So far, 82% of moneyline handle is on New York to win along with 83% of the moneyline wagers. The runline splits are even more lopsided, with 85% of handle on the Yankees to win by multiple runs.
With respect to the total, the public heavily leans towards over 7.5. As of 11 am ET, 77% of O/U handle and 77% of O/U wagers were on over 7.5 runs.