Week 11 wraps up in Dallas as the Houston Texans face the Dallas Cowboys on “Monday Night Football.” Both teams are eager to get back into the win column with the Texans having lost their past two games and the Cowboys their past four. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN.

After losing Dak Prescott to injury, the Cowboys will again start Cooper Rush at quarterback and hope that last week’s 45 passing yards was just a bad game rather than a sign of what’s to come. The Texans also have had significant injuries this season, especially at wide receiver, but Nico Collins is back and poised to return to a major role in the offense.

The Texans come in as touchdown favorites on the road in a game that has only 41.5 projected total points.

Odds current as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Texans (-7)
Money line: Texans (-380), Cowboys (+290)
Over/Under: 41.5

First-half spread: Texans (-4.5)
Texans total points: 24.5 (over -105/under -125)
Cowboys total points: 16.5 (over -110/under -120)

The props

Passing

C.J. Stroud total passing yards: 249.5 (over +115/under -145)
Stroud total passing TDs: 1.5 (over +100/under -130)
Cooper Rush total passing yards: 174.5 (over -130/under +100)
Rush total passing TDs: 0.5 (over -165/under +130)

Rushing

Joe Mixon total rushing yards: 89.5 (over -105/under -125)
Rico Dowdle total rushing yards: 49.5 (over -145/under +115)

Receiving

CeeDee Lamb total receiving yards: 59.5 (over -125/under -105)
Nico Collins total receiving yards: 69.5 (over -140/under +110)
Tank Dell total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -110/under -120)
Jake Ferguson total receiving yards: 34.5 (over -130/under +100)
Dalton Schultz total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -115/under -115)
Rico Dowdle total receiving yards: 19.5 (over -135/under +105)
Joe Mixon total receiving yards: 14.5 (over -135/under +105)

Eric Moody’s picks of the game:

Nico Collins over 69.5 receiving yards (-140): C.J. Stroud and the Texans are excited to have Collins back after he sat out five games because of a hamstring injury. Before the injury, Collins cleared this line in every game and had 10 or more targets in three of his five appearances. Stroud also benefited from Collins’ presence, ranking third in passing yards during those games. Against a Cowboys defense that gives up the seventh-most total yards per game, Collins is in an excellent position to come back strong.

Dalton Schultz over 29.5 receiving yards (-110): Schultz has cleared this line in only four games this season, but there’s reason for optimism. Since Stefon Diggs‘ season-ending injury in late October, Schultz has had more involvement in the Texans’ offense. With Collins back, Schultz should have more chances in the middle of the field, especially against a Cowboys secondary dealing with injuries. And let’s not forget the revenge-game factor — Schultz should be motivated to deliver against his former team.

Dallas Cowboys under 16.5 total points (-120): The Cowboys’ defense has struggled against the run, allowing the ninth-most rushing yards per game to running backs and ranking 30th in run stop win rate, which should benefit the Texans as they lean on Joe Mixon to control time of possession. Dallas’ offense scored only six points against the Eagles in Week 10 with Rush passing for 45 yards. Since Philadelphia’s secondary has struggled most of the season, this was telling. Meanwhile, the Texans’ defense is getting healthier, which could make it a tough night for the Cowboys, especially on offense with CeeDee Lamb nursing shoulder and back injuries.

Betting trends

Courtesy ESPN Research

• Unders are 8-2 in Texans games this season, the highest under percentage in the NFL. Unders are 8-1 in their past nine games with four straight unders.

• The Texans are 9-1 ATS in the first half this season, the best mark in the NFL.

• The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their past four games, their longest ATS losing streak since 2020 (eight straight). They are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games.

• This is the sixth straight game in which the Cowboys are underdogs, their longest streak since 2015 (seven straight). This would be the first time since 1989 the Cowboys are at least 7-point underdogs in back-to-back home games.

• The Texans are 5-10 ATS as favorites under DeMeco Ryans. They are 8-20-1 ATS as favorites since 2019. The Texans have not closed as at least 7-point favorites since 2020 (-7.5 vs Bengals).

• The Cowboys can clinch the under on their season win total (10.5) with a loss.

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