Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz (44) watches his ball leave the park for a 3-run home run to take a one run lead in the third inning of the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Thursday, June 6, 2024.
- Tuesday is a popular day to bet MLB home run props as multiple sportsbooks offer boosts for the prop
- With all 30 MLB teams in action today, there is no shortage of options for who will hit a home run
- Check out the four players I have used my home run bonuses on below
We are blessed with yet another Dinger Tuesday today and, once again, all 30 MLB teams are in action. This means there are at least 270 players who could hit a home run today. After running through all the MLB data I deem the most important, I have landed on the following four players to hit a home run today:
Best Players to Pick to Hit a Home Run Today
There are two sportsbooks that offer home run bonuses today: FanDuel and Caesars. (If you want to see all the bonuses available today, check out our daily odds boosts page.) FanDuel’s offer is dubbed “Dinger Tuesday” and allows you to place two bets on players to hit a home run, and you will get a $5 bonus for each home run hit in that player’s game. Caesars’ bonus is simpler, as they offer two 25% profit boosts that can be used on home run bets.
Here’s how I have used these four bonuses:
1. Jake Cronenworth, Padres (+800 at FanDuel)
Cronenworth has not faced A’s pitcher JP Sears in the Majors yet, but he is one of the hottest long-ball hitters in the MLB right now. The Padres infielder is batting .346 with two home runs and two doubles in the last seven days. On top of that, Sears’ ERA on the road goes up to 4.43 (versus 3.31 at home) and he has given up six home runs in 40.2 innings pitched.
PETCO Park is not the most friendly park for home runs, but it’s also not an unfriendly one. I also like the chances of making my money back here even if I don’t nail the player. The Athletics rank 5th in the majors for home runs hit, while the Padres are tied for 11th, and there are enough players with big-time power in this game to clear the fence. Padres starter Randy Vasquez has also given up at least one home run in six of his seven starts this year, with two allowed in his most recent start against the D-Backs.
So, while there are a number of players to choose from in this game, Cronenworth’s +800 odds were too nice to pass up.
2. Freddie Freeman, Dodgers (+450 at FanDuel)
Freddie Freeman has faced Dane Dunning twice in his career and has one single and one home run for a perfect 1.000 batting average. After a bit of a cold week for Freeman, where he has been hitting .261, I foresee the Dodgers’ 1B coming alive in his first game at home since June 2, where he hit a home run against the Rockies.
Dunning has also struggled a little with the long ball this season, allowing 10 home runs in just 50.2 innings pitched, good for a 1.8 HR/9 ratio.
Similar to my first pick, this is another game where I expect to see a good number of home runs hit. Dodger Stadium is the third-most home run friendly park in the Majors, and the Rangers are no stranger to the long ball either. Texas is averaging more than one HR per game this season and will get the weakest member of the Dodgers’ rotation in James Paxton
3. William Contreras, Brewers (+370 at Caesars)
With my Caesars home run bonuses, I’m no longer concerned about picking a game where I suspect there will be lots of home runs hit, since I am not incentivized to do so, and just hone in on batter vs pitcher matchups.
In the first of two picks at Caesars, I’m going with William Contreras at +370 odds before the 25% boost. Contreras has faced Jays LHP Yusei Kikuchi three times in his career, all of which came last season during a very strong season for the Jays’ pitcher, and has two walks and one home run in those plate appearances.
Contreras hasn’t hit a home run since May 24 but I think that comes to an end tonight. Kikuchi has given up at least one home run in five of his last six starts, and allowed five earned runs in two of his last three.
4. Elly De La Cruz, Reds (+430 at Caesars)
De La Cruz has two home runs in the last seven days and faces Triston McKenzie of the Guardians at home tonight. The fact that Elly has two HRs recently is the least exciting comment in that previous sentence. The most exciting is the matchup against McKenzie, who gets hit hard when he gets hit. McKenzie has given up 14 home runs this season and has a HR/9 rate of 2.03. He has given up at least one home run in each of his last four starts, which includes a total of eight in his last three games.
Add in the fact that he’s pitching at Great American Ball Park tonight, which is the most home run friendly park in the Majors, and this is a bet I couldn’t pass up, especially with +430 odds prior to the boost.
After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD’s Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD’s score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.