May 10, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball as Minnesota Timberwolves center Rudy Gobert (27) defends in the second half during game three of the second round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
- Coming off their first loss of the 2024 NBA playoffs, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 on Sunday night
- Minnesota can take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a win in Game 4
- Below, see the Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves odds, predictions, player props, and injury news
The last remaining undefeated team in the NBA playoffs had their streak end with a whimper last time out as the Minnesota Timberwolves (61-27, 32-12 home, 45-41-2 ATS) were demolished 117-90 by the Denver Nuggets (62-27, 26-18 away, 40-48-1 ATS) in Game 3 of their best-of-seven series on Friday. The teams are back on the court for Game 4 on Sunday night at Target Arena in Minneapolis (7:10 pm CT/8:10 pm ET).
Minnesota remains a home-court favorites for Game 4 but the Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds have shifted in Denver’s favor compared to Game 3.
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds (Game 4)
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | +2.5 (-110) | +120 | O 204.5 (-110) |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -2.5 (-110) | -142 | U 204.5 (-110) |
The Timberwolves, who were four-point chalk before getting demolished in Game 3, are just 2.5-point favorites ahead of Game 4 and -142 on the moneyline. The defending NBA-champion Nuggets are +120 to even the series at two games apiece before it shifts back to Denver for Games 5 and 7, if necessary.
The game total remains at 204.5. The first two games of the series had a game total of 209.5 and both stayed under (106-99 and 106-80). Game 3 was the first of the series to hit the over.
Odds as of May 12 at Fanatics. Claim a Fanatics Sportsbook promo code to bet on Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 4 on Sunday.
Minnesota’s odds to advance in the NBA playoff bracket had improved to -550 ahead of Game 3 but those odds have faded to -205 in advance of Game 4. The Nuggets are now +170 underdogs to reach their second straight Western Conference final (and will become sizable favorites if they can pull off another upset on Sunday night).
Nuggets Improve in Every Facet in Game 3
After two ugly losses at home to begin the series, Denver stepped up its game in almost all areas in Game 3. The Nuggets shot 53.8% from the floor and 48.3% from three, led by 24 points apiece from Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. The latter had been almost invisible in Games 1 and 2, scoring just 25 points combined while battling a lingering calf injury.
Minnesota, on the other hand, couldn’t buy a bucket (43.7% from the floor, 30.3% from three) and collected just five offensive rebounds in the entire game. Overall, Denver finished with a 40-32 edge on the glass in Game 3, led by a game-high 14 rebounds from Jokic, who also dished-out a game-high nine assists.
Anthony Edwards, who combined for had 70 points combined in the first two games of the series, was not nearly as assertive in Game 3; Edwards had a team-high 19 points on just 8-of-15 from the floor.
Denver vs Minnesota Game 4 Injury Reports
The injury reports for Game 4 are markedly similar to Game 3. On the Denver side, a trio significant names are listed as questionable: Jamal Murray (calf), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (abdominal), and Reggie Jackson (calf).
The only name on the Minnesota injury report is UCLA product Jaylen Clark (Achilles), who didn’t play a minute in his rookie season.
DEN vs MIN Game 4 Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon (DEN) | 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 4.5 (Ov -162 | Un +136) | 4.5 (Ov +140 | Un -166) | 0.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 27.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) | 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) | 2.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 8.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) |
| Jamal Murray (DEN) | 21.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) | 3.5 (Ov -162 | Un +136) | 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +130) |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | 19.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 6.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 2.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) | 1.5 (Ov -185 | Un +154) |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) | 7.5 (Ov -122| Un +102) | 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) | 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -175) | 1.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) |
| Michael Porter Jr (MIN) | 16.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) |
| Mike Conley (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 3.5 (Ov +114 | Un -135) | 6.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) | 1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +130) |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN) | 6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) | OFF | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) |
| Nikola Jokic (DEN) | 27.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 13.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) | 8.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -192) |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) | 12.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) | OFF | OFF |
NBA player props as of May 12 at DraftKings.
Jokic and Edwards have the highest point totals on the board for Game 4 at 27.5. For Jokic, that represents at two-point drop compared to Game 3. He’s averaging just 24 PPG for the series and 26.6 PPG in the playoffs. Jokic’s rebound total, on the other hand, is up one to 13.5 after his 14-rebound performance last time out.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 4 Predictions
Since their impressive Game 1 win over the Suns in the first round, I have been backing the T-Wolves every time out. For the first time, I was made to look foolish on Friday. But I’m not terribly concerned about Minnesota’s long-term prospects. I firmly believe this team is built to win in the postseason. They have, by far, the best defense in the league and, as long as Edwards reasserts himself on the offensive end, enough firepower to keep up with Jokic and company.
The Timberwolves have also been phenomenal after a loss all season. Minnesota lost back-to-back games just four times all year, and never had a losing streak longer than two games. That means they went 22-4 straight-up after a loss during the regular season.
DEN vs MIN Game 4 picks:
- Timberwolves moneyline (-142)
- Edwards over 27.5 points (-120)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.