Jun 21, 2024; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers goaltender Stuart Skinner (74) makes a save against the Florida Panthers during the third period in game six of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
- The Edmonton Oilers have battled back from 3-0 down to force a Game 7 against the Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup final
- After blowing three chances to close out the series, the Panthers are slight home favorites against the Oilers
- See the Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers odds, predictions and player props for Game 7 on June 24
A comeback for the ages is just one win away from coming to fruition. After falling behind 3-0 in the Stanley Cup final, the Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 21-18-2 away in regular season) have dominated the last three games to force a Game 7 on Monday night against the Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 26-13-2 home in regular season) at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL (8:20 pm ET).
Florida was a slight favorite to win the Cup heading into the series, and remain slight favorites in the Oilers vs Panthers Game 7 odds.
Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Game 7 Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Puckline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | -108 | +1.5 (-290) | Over 5.5 (+130) |
| Florida Panthers | -112 | -1.5 (+235) | Under 5.5 (-155) |
Florida is listed at -112 to win the Cup on Monday night (52.83% implied win probability) with the Oilers at -108 (51.92%) in Monday’s NHL odds. The over/under remains at 5.5, as it has been for every game this series, but the under is heavily favored (+130o/-155u).
The first two games of the series stayed under the 5.5 total (3-0 and 4-1 Florida wins) but the last four have all gone over (a 4-3 Florida victory in Game 3 and 8-1, 5-3, and 5-1 Edmonton wins in Games 4, 5, and 6).
Odds as of June 24. Check out the top betting promo codes to land a bonus for Stanley Cup Game 7.
Expect a Defensive Battle in Oilers vs Panthers Game 7
History is heavily on the side of the under on Monday night. There have been seven Game 7s in the Stanley Cup Final since the turn of the century, and none have gone over 5.5 goals. Only one – the most-recent between the Blues and Bruins in 2019 – went over 4.5 goals (4-1 STL win).
Recent Game 7s in Stanley Cup Final
| Year | Matchup | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Colorado Avalanche over New Jersey Devils | 3-1 |
| 2003 | New Jersey Devils over Anaheim Ducks | 3-0 |
| 2004 | Tampa Bay Lightning over Calgary Flames | 2-1 |
| 2006 | Carolina Hurricanes over Edmonton Oilers | 3-1 |
| 2009 | Pittsburgh Penguins over Detroit Red Wings | 2-1 |
| 2011 | Boston Bruins vs Vancouver Canucks | 4-0 |
| 2019 | St Louis Blues over Boston Bruins | 4-1 |
The NHL has certainly changed from the early aughts – even from a decade ago – but the mentality of NHL players and coaches going into a Game 7 will remain the same. Bettors can expect a cagey, defensive-minded game from the outset. The team that scored first has won five of the six games in the series, and no one wants to be on the ice for the massively-important first goal in Game 7.
Oilers vs Panthers Game 7 Player Props
| Player | Points | Shots | Anytime Goalscorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ekblad (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +215 | Un -310) | OFF | OFF |
| Aleksander Barkov (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140) | 2.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) | +255 |
| Anton Lundell (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +128 | Un -160) | 1.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) | +425 |
| Brandon Montour (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +155 | Un -210) | 2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) | +550 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | +200 |
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | 1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | +135 |
| Eetu Luostarinen (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +190 | Un -260) | OFF | +550 |
| Evan Bouchard (EDM) | 0.5 (Ov -190 | Un +145) | 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | +380 |
| Evan Rodrigues (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +132 | Un -170) | 1.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) | +380 |
| Gustav Forsling (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +145 | Un -190) | OFF | +600 |
| Leon Draisaitl (EDM) | 0.5 (Ov -225 | Un +165) | 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | +165 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140) | 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) | +210 |
| Mattias Ekholm (EDM) | 0.5 (Ov +185 | Un -250) | 1.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | +550 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) | 0.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 1.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) | +310 |
| Sam Bennett (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) | +310 |
| Sam Reinhart (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) | 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | +155 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (FLA) | 0.5 (Ov +150 | Un -200) | 1.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) | +360 |
| Zach Hyman (EDM) | 0.5 (Ov -180 | Un +140) | 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) | +130 |
NHL player props from bet365 (points) and DraftKings (shots and goals) on June 24.
With the under favored in Game 7, the point, shot, and goalscorer props generally see longer odds across the board. McDavid is the only player with a standard point total over 0.5, listed at -110 to record another multi-point game. McDavid was held off the scoresheet in Game 6 for the first time since Game 1 and just the sixth time this postseason. With 42 points in the playoffs, the Oilers superstar is just five shy of Wayne Gretzky’s all-time record for points in a single postseason (47).
Evan Bouchard, who is himself five points away from Paul Coffey’s record for points in a single postseason by a defenseman (37), is -190 to record at least a point in Game 7, which is shorter than any player on the Panthers.
The shortest odds to record a point among Florida players belongs to captain Aleksander Barkov and Matthew Tkachuk, both at -180.
Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Game 7 Prediction
When Sergei Bobrovsky was badly outplaying Stuart Skinner in the first three games of the series, it seemed inevitable the Panthers would lift their first Cup in franchise history. But the script has flipped the last three games. The mercurial Florida tender has allowed 12 goals on just 58 shots over the past three games, an abysmal 0.793 save percentage. Edmonton’s shooters have been going to the same blocker-side move on Bobrovsky time and again with success, and it looks like they’re in his head at this point.
Meanwhile, Skinner turned up his game at the last possible moment, stopping 79 of 84 shots in the last 180 minutes, good for a .940 save percentage.
The Oilers have generated more xGF in four of six games in the series, and have a massive 21.92 to 16.92advantage in xGF over the course of the series, according to moneypuck.com. If Skinner is the better goalie in Game 7, it’s hard to back Florida as the favorite.
At the same time, I’m going to back a low-scoring game with a couple prop bets. FanDuel has a prop on no goal in the first 10 minutes of the game priced at -104, and I’m also taking Leon Draisaitl to be held pointless and significant plus-money (+164). Edmonton’s number-two center has been held without a point in four of six games this series, and has played under 18 minutes in two of the last three. Don’t expect much PP time for the power-play savant, either, with the refs likely to be reluctant to make calls in the deciding game.
EDM vs FLA Game 7 picks:
- Oilers moneyline (-108)
- No goals in first 10 minutes (-104 at FanDuel)
- Draisaitl under 0.5 points (+165)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.