May 26, 2024; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) and Dallas Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving (11) hug during the fourth quarter against the Minnesota Timberwolves during game three of the western conference finals for the 2024 NBA playoffs at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
- The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win to keep their season alive in Game 4 against the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday night
- The Mavericks have already handed the T-wolves their first three-game losing streak of the season
- See the Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 odds, predictions, and player props for May 28
The season is on the brink tonight for the Minnesota Timberwolves (64-32, 30-17 away, 48-47-2 ATS), who find themselves in a 3-0 hole to the Dallas Mavericks (61-36, 30-18 home, 57-40 ATS) in the 2024 Western Conference Final.
Minnesota’s setbacks in the first three games of the series represent the team’s first three-game losing streak of the entire season. The Timberwolves vs Mavericks odds for Game 4 slightly favor Dallas ending the best-of-seven tonight on its home court.
Tip-off is scheduled for 7:40 pm CT/8:40 pm ET at American Airlines Arena in Dallas, TX.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +2 (-112) | +110 | O 210.5 (-110) |
| Dallas Mavericks | -2 (-108) | -130 | U 210.5 (-110) |
The Mavericks enter Game 4 as slim two-point favorites against the spread and -130 on the moneyline to win straight-up. The Timberwolves are +110 underdogs to extend the series at least one more game.
The game total has increased from 207 in Game 3 to 210.5. All three games of the series so far have hit the over.
Odds as of May 28 at DraftKings. Learn how to deposit at DraftKings to bet on the 2024 NBA playoffs.
Dallas took Game 3 by a 116-107 score, getting 33 points from both Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving and shooting an electric 50% from three as a team (14-of-28).
The Mavericks, who started the WCF as +105 underdogs to advance, are now -1800 to reach the NBA Finals. The Timberwolves are priced at +1000 to pull off the first 0-3 comeback in NBA history. On the other side of the NBA playoff bracket, the Boston Celtics swept the Indiana Pacers in four games to win the East.
MIN vs DAL Game 4 Injury Reports
A modicum of good news for the T-wolves is that they will enter Game 4 as the considerably healthier team. Rookie G-Leaguer Jaylen Clark is the only player listed on the Minnesota injury report.
But on the Dallas side, center Derrick Lively II is out with a neck injury. Lively was averaging 11.5 PPG and 10.0 RPG in the first two games before leaving Game 3 early. A big part of the Dallas frontcourt, Lively put up 8.8 PPG and 6.9 RPG in the regular season.
Luka Doncic remains on the Mavs’ injury report as well with lingering knee and ankle issues. They didn’t visibly slow the Slovenian in Game 3 when he put up 33 points, seven rebounds, and five assists in 41 minutes. That was Doncic’s third straight 30-point game and the third straight game he played at least 40 minutes.
MIN vs DAL Player Props (Game 4)
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 26.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 6.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 6.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) | 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) |
| Daniel Gafford (DAL) | 10.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) | 7.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | OFF | OFF |
| Derrick Jones Jr (DAL) | 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +170 | Un -205) |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) | 4.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -180) |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) | 7.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124) | 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 1.5 (Ov -170 | Un +142) |
| Kyrie Irving (DAL) | 23.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -140) | 4.5 (Ov -112 | Un-108) | 2.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) |
| Luka Doncic (DAL) | 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) | 9.5 (Ov -+114 | Un -135) | 8.5 (Ov -135 | Un -135) | 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) |
| Mike Conley (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 2,5 (Ov -162 | Un +136) | 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -118) | 2.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 12.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) | 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +130) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov -205 | Un +170) |
| PJ Washington (DAL) | 13.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) | 6.5 (Ov -115 Un -105) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -185 | Un +154) |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) | 10.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) | OFF | OFF |
DAL vs MIN NBA player props from DraftKings on May 28.
Doncic’s player prop is once again at 30.5 points, a number he has exceeded in each of the first three games of the series. Edwards leads the T-wolves players at 26.5. He needed a last-minute bucket to hit 26 on Game 3 and hasn’t gone over 26 in any of his last four.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction
I have been siding with the T-wolves the entire series, and I am going down with that ship. They were the better team throughout the regular season and, if Edwards can regain the form he showed in the first two rounds of the playoffs, are built to win championships.
Dallas was lights-out from beyond the arc in Game 3, which is likely to regress. The Mavs are not a great three-point shooting team. They finished 13th in the NBA in the regular season at 36.9% and are hitting at the same clip in the postseason. Rebounding has been key to Dallas success so far (the Mavs were +12 in the first two games before going -1 in Game 3) and the absence of Lively will be felt in the post.
MIN vs DAL Game 4 picks:
- Timberwolves moneyline (+110)
- Gobert over 10.5 rebounds (-130)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.