Nov 23, 2022; Doha, Qatar; Germany midfielder Ilkay Gundogan (21) during a group stage match during the 2022 World Cup against Japan at Khalifa International Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Yukihito Taguchi-USA TODAY Sports
- The round of 16 matchups are set at Euro 2024 and odds are already out for most matchups
- France vs Belgium highlights the slate, while host Germany have a tricky opponent in Denmark
- See the Euro 2024 round of 16 odds for all eight games plus early predictions and best bets
All the main favorites are through to the round of 16 at Euro 2024 along with a handful of inspiring longshots. After the final day of the group stage, all eight matchups are set for the knockout stage and odds are already out for half of them.
The table below lists the available three-way moneyline odds, plus the odds to advance, for all round of 16 games at Euro 2024 (in chronological order). The table will be updated as more odds become available.
Euro 2024 Round of 16 Odds
| Matchup/Date | Home Win | Draw | Away Win | To Advance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs Italy (June 29) | +220 | +195 | +150 | SWI +105 / ITA -135 |
| Germany vs Denmark (June 29) | -165 | +285 | +475 | GER -330 / DEN +265 |
| England vs Slovakia (June 30) | -275 | +350 | +800 | ENG -600 / SVK +400 |
| Spain vs Georgia (June 30) | -550 | +500 | +1200 | TBD |
| France vs Belgium (July 1) | -120 | +225 | +375 | FRA -250 / BEL +200 |
| Portugal vs Slovenia (July 1) | -250 | +333 | +750 | TBD |
| Romania vs Netherlands (July 2) | +500 | +300 | -188 | TBD |
| Austria vs Turkey (July 2) | +100 | +230 | +275 | TBD |
Spain is the biggest favorite on the board so far, listed at -550 to beat Georgia in regular time. Switzerland vs Italy has the narrowest odds: both are significant plus-money to win in regular time while Italy is a -135 favorite to advance and Switzerland a slight +105 underdog.
Odds as of June 26 at DraftKings and bet365.
For reasons that have everything to do with public betting and little to do with quality of performance, England is listed as the +400 favorite to win the tournament in the Euro 2024 odds ahead of the knockout stage. Spain (+450) and Germany (+500) are second and third-favorites, respectively.
At this stage of the tournament, it’s inevitable that powerhouses will meet, and there are indeed two games between top-ten teams in the FIFA world rankings, including #2 France vs #3 Belgium.
Early Round of 16 Best Bets for Euro 2024
- France vs Belgium: under 2.5 (-138) at bet365
Neither of these teams impressed offensively during the group stage, mustering just two goals each. But both defenses were on point. Belgium has kept two straight clean sheets after a 1-0 upset at the hands of Slovakia in their opener. France started the tournament with two clean sheets against Austria (1-0) and the Netherlands (0-0) before a 1-1 draw with Poland that saw Robert Lewandowski finally beat Mike Maignan with (a retake) of a penalty.
- Switzerland vs Italy: SWI to advance (+105)
Switzerland was impressive in its runner-up performance in Group A. They were seconds away from winning the quarter before Germany scored a late equalizer in third and final group-stage game to earn a 1-1 draw. The Swiss outplayed both Hungary (2-1 win) and Scotland (1-1 draw) even though they only took four of six points from the pair of matches.
Italy, on the other hand, fell behind Albania during a 2-1 win, were badly outplayed by Spain in a 1-0 loss, and needed a miracle last-minute equalizer to draw Croatia and claim second-place in Group B. Defensive anchor Riccardo Calafiori isn’t playing due to suspension, and that’s a big problem for an offensively challenged Italian side that will need to be perfect at the back end.
Sascha Paruk’s 2024 Euro/Copa America betting record: 15-5 (+12.19 units)
All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.