Aaron Rodgers Over 212.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Rodgers has yet to go off with New York, completing just 60.8% of his passes and staying well below 200 passing yards in both games.

But the Patriots just gave up 327 passing yards on a 75% completion rate to Geno Smith, and Rodgers should feel more comfortable on his home turf after back-to-back away games. Mayo will likely load the box to stop Hall, which should give Lazard, Wilson, Hall and the rest of the Jets’ weapons more room to get open.

If the Over is going to hit, Rodgers will need to make plays through the air, especially if New England’s stout run defense limits Hall on the ground. Accordingly, this prop bet is worth targeting.

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Stevenson has cleared this prop easily in both games so far, racking up 120 rushing yards in Week 1 and 81 yards last week. He’s bounced back in a big way from a disappointing 2023 season, looking more like the 1,000-yard rusher from 2022.

New York presents a great matchup for him to keep rolling. The Jets have allowed 130-plus rushing yards in both games and struggled against the run last year as well, ranking 25th in rushing yards allowed.

Stevenson is the clear top dog in New England’s backfield, topping 20 carries in both games. His 46 rushing attempts are more than twice as many as Antonio Gibson (18), so look for Mayo to lean heavily on Stevenson here.

Stevenson also had a touchdown in each of his first two games, making him a great value play to score an anytime touchdown at +140 odds. As long as the Patriots’ defense keeps the score relatively close, Stevenson should have 70-plus rushing yards for the third straight week.