The 2024 UEFA European Championship continues this morning with Poland and France in a decisive Group D duel. The latter will be looking to win the highly competitive group, whereas the former hopes to play spoiler having already learned its fate at the tournament.
Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany plays host to this massive matchup. Kickoff is slated for 11 a.m. CT (6 p.m. CET) on Tuesday. Fox will have nationwide coverage in the United States. Let’s break down the odds.
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2024 UEFA European Championship preview: Poland vs. France odds, prediction, best bet
It’s been a tournament to forget for Poland as Biało-czerwoni became the first team eliminated on matchday two. Michał Probierz’s side dropped points against both Austria and the Netherlands as they have yet to score a goal after the half-hour mark. Poland’s reward for elimination? A date with one of the best teams in the world to conclude its stay at the 2024 European Championship.
France has been lackluster through two performances, but it has still done enough to give itself a chance to win Group D on the final matchday. Les Bleus look flustered in attack with an own goal against Austria being the only instance in which they’ve found the back of the net across 180+ minutes. The question remains, can Didier Deschamps’ men get it done without Kylian Mbappe?
Let’s take a closer look at the odds and trends ahead of this highly anticipated UEFA European Championship clash:
Poland vs. France
Time/TV: Tuesday, June 25 at 11 a.m. CT (Fox)
Location: Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany
Moneyline: Poland +1000 | Draw +500 | France -370
Analysis: Injuries have stolen the headlines ahead of this pivotal matchup. The statuses of Robert Lewandowski and Mbappe are up in the air. Lewandowski came on as a second-half substitute to make his Euro 2024 debut against Austria and Mbappe watched from the sideline as France drew with the Netherlands.
Will Probierz risk Lewandowski’s health in a meaningless game for his side? Will Deschamps’ management of Mbappe depend on results in both group games? These are the questions being asked, but let’s talk about the other aspects of each squad ahead of this matchup.
It’s a classic movable object meets a stoppable force scenario — a twist on the cliché phrase — in this matchday three showdown.
Poland’s sloppy defense has conceded five goals in just two games. While Biało-czerwoni have missed their talisman up top, they’ve managed to find production from elsewhere in each game. Both units could produce better but the defense has been the biggest issue, which ultimately led to Poland’s early elimination.
France’s sluggish attack, meanwhile, hasn’t scored an actual goal this tournament. A deflected Mbappe cross put in by an Austrian defender is the only time Les Bleus have gotten on the scoresheet. Ousmane Dembele, Antoine Griezmann, Marcus Thurham and Co. have struggled in front of goal, especially with the aforementioned superstar watching from the stands.
If not for the likes of N’Golo Kante and the French defense, Deschamps’ men would likely need all three points from this match to progress into the knockout stages. Luckily, four points should be enough, which means less pressure on Les Bleus’ shoulders leading up to kickoff.
In the end, I believe it’ll be the stoppable force (France’s attack) that gets the better of the movable object (Poland’s defense). The former has too much talent and a trump card in Mbappe if all else fails. The latter looked dejected during the second half against Austria. Les Bleus need a confidence boost ahead of the knockout stages if they want to mount another successful campaign.
Prediction: Poland 0-2 France
Best bet: Antoine Griezmann anytime goalscorer (+180 at FanDuel Sportsbook)